Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.173720 0.202950 0.235046 0.272828 0.316010 0.363742 0.420418
2025-11-30 0.131366 0.172683 0.222918 0.288110 0.370049 0.469162 0.597612
2025-12-07 0.099322 0.142915 0.200174 0.280075 0.387727 0.526646 0.718181
2025-12-14 0.077962 0.121142 0.181674 0.271390 0.399343 0.573321 0.825352
2025-12-21 0.063351 0.105421 0.167888 0.265480 0.411671 0.619522 0.933474
2025-12-28 0.054826 0.096950 0.162745 0.270360 0.438535 0.686928 1.075635
2026-01-04 0.048906 0.091411 0.160918 0.279382 0.471618 0.765257 1.239244
2026-01-11 0.043388 0.085505 0.157443 0.284894 0.499105 0.836660 1.397309
2026-01-18 0.038262 0.079367 0.152575 0.287158 0.521002 0.900433 1.547664
2026-01-25 0.033706 0.073475 0.147220 0.287662 0.539508 0.959579 1.694268
2026-02-01 0.029334 0.067179 0.140208 0.284186 0.550425 1.006508 1.823601
2026-02-08 0.025401 0.061087 0.132701 0.278749 0.556983 1.046037 1.942656
2026-02-15 0.021441 0.054330 0.123140 0.268571 0.554413 1.070484 2.039533
2026-02-22 0.020421 0.053950 0.126455 0.284063 0.601498 1.186679 2.306042
2026-03-01 0.017505 0.048637 0.118688 0.276161 0.602651 1.219522 2.425475
2026-03-08 0.014970 0.043744 0.111094 0.267588 0.601390 1.247370 2.537161
2026-03-15 0.012988 0.039848 0.105149 0.261753 0.604905 1.284162 2.667549
2026-03-22 0.011920 0.038161 0.104092 0.266571 0.630907 1.366135 2.888937
2026-03-29 0.011190 0.037269 0.104812 0.275480 0.666330 1.469018 3.157112
2026-04-05 0.010343 0.035877 0.104098 0.280922 0.694609 1.559362 3.406101
2026-04-12 0.009428 0.034101 0.102150 0.283157 0.715880 1.636693 3.633700
2026-04-19 0.008538 0.032212 0.099630 0.283655 0.733147 1.706677 3.850372
2026-04-26 0.007591 0.029939 0.095736 0.280223 0.740941 1.757049 4.029626